International Stock Fund Market Value

DISYX Fund  USD 24.39  0.24  0.97%   
International Stock's market value is the price at which a share of International Stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of International Stock Fund investors about its performance. International Stock is trading at 24.39 as of the 11th of November 2024; that is 0.97% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 24.63.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of International Stock Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in International Stock over a given investment horizon. Check out International Stock Correlation, International Stock Volatility and International Stock Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on International Stock.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between International Stock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Stock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Stock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

International Stock 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to International Stock's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of International Stock.
0.00
11/22/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in International Stock on November 22, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding International Stock Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in International Stock over 720 days. International Stock is related to or competes with Dreyfus High, Dreyfusthe Boston, Dreyfus International, Dreyfus International, Dreyfus International, Dreyfus International, and Dreyfus Short. To pursue its goal, the fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment ... More

International Stock Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure International Stock's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess International Stock Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

International Stock Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for International Stock's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as International Stock's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use International Stock historical prices to predict the future International Stock's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of International Stock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.4124.3925.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.6324.6125.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.9924.9725.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.0324.9325.83
Details

International Stock Backtested Returns

International Stock holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0212, which attests that the entity had a -0.0212% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. International Stock exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out International Stock's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 8.0E-4, risk adjusted performance of 0.006, and Downside Deviation of 0.9851 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.56, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, International Stock's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding International Stock is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.38  

Below average predictability

International Stock Fund has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between International Stock time series from 22nd of November 2022 to 17th of November 2023 and 17th of November 2023 to 11th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of International Stock price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current International Stock price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.38
Spearman Rank Test0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.88

International Stock lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is International Stock mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting International Stock's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of International Stock returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that International Stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

International Stock regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If International Stock mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if International Stock mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in International Stock mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

International Stock Lagged Returns

When evaluating International Stock's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of International Stock mutual fund have on its future price. International Stock autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, International Stock autocorrelation shows the relationship between International Stock mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in International Stock Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in International Mutual Fund

International Stock financial ratios help investors to determine whether International Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in International with respect to the benefits of owning International Stock security.
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