Dreyfus International Bond Fund Market Value

DIBYX Fund  USD 13.50  0.01  0.07%   
Dreyfus International's market value is the price at which a share of Dreyfus International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dreyfus International Bond investors about its performance. Dreyfus International is trading at 13.50 as of the 22nd of September 2024; that is 0.07% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dreyfus International Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dreyfus International over a given investment horizon. Check out Dreyfus International Correlation, Dreyfus International Volatility and Dreyfus International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dreyfus International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dreyfus International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dreyfus International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dreyfus International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dreyfus International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dreyfus International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dreyfus International.
0.00
08/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
09/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dreyfus International on August 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dreyfus International Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dreyfus International over 30 days. Dreyfus International is related to or competes with Dreyfus High, Dreyfus/the Boston, Dreyfus International, Dreyfus International, Dreyfus International, Dreyfus Short, and Dreyfus International. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purposes, in fixed-i... More

Dreyfus International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dreyfus International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dreyfus International Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dreyfus International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dreyfus International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dreyfus International historical prices to predict the future Dreyfus International's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dreyfus International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0913.5013.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9012.3114.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.1813.6014.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.9813.2713.55
Details

Dreyfus International Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Dreyfus Mutual Fund to be very steady. Dreyfus International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.28, which denotes the fund had a 0.28% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Dreyfus International Bond, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Dreyfus International's Coefficient Of Variation of 368.44, mean deviation of 0.3161, and Downside Deviation of 0.3751 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.022, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Dreyfus International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Dreyfus International is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.5  

Modest reverse predictability

Dreyfus International Bond has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dreyfus International time series from 23rd of August 2024 to 7th of September 2024 and 7th of September 2024 to 22nd of September 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dreyfus International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Dreyfus International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.5
Spearman Rank Test-0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Dreyfus International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dreyfus International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dreyfus International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dreyfus International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dreyfus International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dreyfus International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dreyfus International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dreyfus International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dreyfus International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dreyfus International mutual fund have on its future price. Dreyfus International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dreyfus International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dreyfus International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dreyfus International Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund

Dreyfus International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus International security.
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