Crystal Valley Financial Stock Market Value
| CYVF Stock | USD 67.00 0.50 0.75% |
| Symbol | Crystal |
Crystal Valley 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Crystal Valley's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Crystal Valley.
| 05/20/2025 |
| 08/18/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Crystal Valley on May 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Crystal Valley Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Crystal Valley over 90 days. Crystal Valley is related to or competes with Western Alliance, Comerica Incorporated, Zions Bancorporation, KeyCorp, and Regions Financial. Crystal Valley Financial Corporation operates as the holding company for First State Bank that provides various personal... More
Crystal Valley Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Crystal Valley's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Crystal Valley Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.56 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.8061 |
Crystal Valley Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Crystal Valley's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Crystal Valley's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Crystal Valley historical prices to predict the future Crystal Valley's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0843 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1051 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.20) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crystal Valley's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Crystal Valley Financial Backtested Returns
At this point, Crystal Valley is very steady. Crystal Valley Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the company had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Crystal Valley Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Crystal Valley's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0843, mean deviation of 0.4253, and Downside Deviation of 1.4 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0764%. Crystal Valley has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.36, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Crystal Valley are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Crystal Valley is likely to outperform the market. Crystal Valley Financial right now shows a risk of 0.71%. Please confirm Crystal Valley Financial downside variance, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Crystal Valley Financial will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.42 |
Average predictability
Crystal Valley Financial has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Crystal Valley time series from 20th of May 2025 to 4th of July 2025 and 4th of July 2025 to 18th of August 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Crystal Valley Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current Crystal Valley price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.42 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.47 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.29 |
Crystal Valley Financial lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Crystal Valley pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Crystal Valley's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Crystal Valley returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Crystal Valley has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Crystal Valley regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Crystal Valley pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Crystal Valley pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Crystal Valley pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Crystal Valley Lagged Returns
When evaluating Crystal Valley's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Crystal Valley pink sheet have on its future price. Crystal Valley autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Crystal Valley autocorrelation shows the relationship between Crystal Valley pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Crystal Valley Financial.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Crystal Pink Sheet
Crystal Valley financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crystal Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crystal with respect to the benefits of owning Crystal Valley security.