Cairn Energy's market value is the price at which a share of Cairn Energy trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Cairn Energy PLC investors about its performance. Cairn Energy is trading at 2.70 as of the 5th of November 2025. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 2.7. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Cairn Energy PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Cairn Energy over a given investment horizon. Check out Cairn Energy Correlation, Cairn Energy Volatility and Cairn Energy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cairn Energy.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cairn Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cairn Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cairn Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Cairn Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cairn Energy's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cairn Energy.
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08/07/2025
No Change 0.00
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In 3 months and 1 day
11/05/2025
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If you would invest 0.00 in Cairn Energy on August 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cairn Energy PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cairn Energy over 90 days. Cairn Energy is related to or competes with Zion Oil, Ngx Energy, Pine Cliff, Falcon Oil, Genel Energy, Alvopetro Energy, and Tullow Oil. Capricorn Energy PLC operates as an independent oil and gas exploration, development, and production company More
Cairn Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cairn Energy's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cairn Energy PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cairn Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cairn Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cairn Energy historical prices to predict the future Cairn Energy's volatility.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cairn Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cairn Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cairn Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cairn Energy PLC.
Cairn Energy PLC Backtested Returns
Cairn Energy PLC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which signifies that the company had a -0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Cairn Energy PLC exposes sixteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Cairn Energy's Standard Deviation of 0.4817, risk adjusted performance of (0.11), and Mean Deviation of 0.1639 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cairn Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cairn Energy is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Cairn Energy PLC has a negative expected return of -0.0846%. Please make sure to confirm Cairn Energy's coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and day typical price , to decide if Cairn Energy PLC performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation
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No correlation between past and present
Cairn Energy PLC has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cairn Energy time series from 7th of August 2025 to 21st of September 2025 and 21st of September 2025 to 5th of November 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cairn Energy PLC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Cairn Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
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Spearman Rank Test
-0.48
Residual Average
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Price Variance
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Cairn Energy PLC lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Cairn Energy pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cairn Energy's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cairn Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cairn Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
Cairn Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cairn Energy pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cairn Energy pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cairn Energy pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
Cairn Energy Lagged Returns
When evaluating Cairn Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cairn Energy pink sheet have on its future price. Cairn Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cairn Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cairn Energy pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cairn Energy PLC.
Other Information on Investing in Cairn Pink Sheet
Cairn Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cairn Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cairn with respect to the benefits of owning Cairn Energy security.