FUSION FUEL (Germany) Market Value
| 60P Stock | EUR 3.40 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | FUSION |
FUSION FUEL 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FUSION FUEL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FUSION FUEL.
| 05/20/2025 |
| 08/18/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in FUSION FUEL on May 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FUSION FUEL GREEN or generate 0.0% return on investment in FUSION FUEL over 90 days. FUSION FUEL is related to or competes with Quaker Chemical, Nissan Chemical, Silicon Motion, PTT Global, Takarék Jelzálogbank, and REVO INSURANCE. Fusion Fuel Green PLC focuses on the production of hydrogen in Portugal, Southern Europe, and Morocco More
FUSION FUEL Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FUSION FUEL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FUSION FUEL GREEN upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 95.33 | |||
| Value At Risk | (21.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 21.18 |
FUSION FUEL Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FUSION FUEL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FUSION FUEL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FUSION FUEL historical prices to predict the future FUSION FUEL's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.64) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (2.16) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.17) |
FUSION FUEL GREEN Backtested Returns
FUSION FUEL GREEN secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0296, which denotes the company had a -0.0296 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. FUSION FUEL GREEN exposes nineteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm FUSION FUEL's Mean Deviation of 7.46, standard deviation of 13.53, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16) to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.46, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, FUSION FUEL will likely underperform. At this point, FUSION FUEL GREEN has a negative expected return of -0.4%. Please make sure to confirm FUSION FUEL's information ratio, total risk alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if FUSION FUEL GREEN performance from the past will be repeated at future time.
Auto-correlation | 0.39 |
Below average predictability
FUSION FUEL GREEN has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FUSION FUEL time series from 20th of May 2025 to 4th of July 2025 and 4th of July 2025 to 18th of August 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FUSION FUEL GREEN price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current FUSION FUEL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.39 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.28 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.13 |
FUSION FUEL GREEN lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is FUSION FUEL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting FUSION FUEL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of FUSION FUEL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that FUSION FUEL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
FUSION FUEL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If FUSION FUEL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if FUSION FUEL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in FUSION FUEL stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
FUSION FUEL Lagged Returns
When evaluating FUSION FUEL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of FUSION FUEL stock have on its future price. FUSION FUEL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, FUSION FUEL autocorrelation shows the relationship between FUSION FUEL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in FUSION FUEL GREEN.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in FUSION Stock
When determining whether FUSION FUEL GREEN is a strong investment it is important to analyze FUSION FUEL's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FUSION FUEL's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FUSION Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out FUSION FUEL Correlation, FUSION FUEL Volatility and FUSION FUEL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on FUSION FUEL. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
FUSION FUEL technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.