VIRGIN WINES's market value is the price at which a share of VIRGIN WINES trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of VIRGIN WINES UK investors about its performance. VIRGIN WINES is trading at 0.46 as of the 29th of July 2025. This is a 4.55% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.46. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VIRGIN WINES UK and determine expected loss or profit from investing in VIRGIN WINES over a given investment horizon. Check out VIRGIN WINES Correlation, VIRGIN WINES Volatility and VIRGIN WINES Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VIRGIN WINES.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VIRGIN WINES's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VIRGIN WINES is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VIRGIN WINES's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
VIRGIN WINES 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VIRGIN WINES's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VIRGIN WINES.
0.00
04/30/2025
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 3 months and 1 day
07/29/2025
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in VIRGIN WINES on April 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VIRGIN WINES UK or generate 0.0% return on investment in VIRGIN WINES over 90 days. VIRGIN WINES is related to or competes with Nucletron Electronic, BURLINGTON STORES, H2O Retailing, BYD ELECTRONIC, FAST RETAIL, Sun Art, and Meiko Electronics. Virgin Wines UK PLC operates as a direct-to-consumer online wine retailer in the United Kingdom More
VIRGIN WINES Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VIRGIN WINES's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VIRGIN WINES UK upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VIRGIN WINES's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VIRGIN WINES's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VIRGIN WINES historical prices to predict the future VIRGIN WINES's volatility.
VIRGIN WINES appears to be abnormally volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. VIRGIN WINES UK owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the firm had a 0.12 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for VIRGIN WINES UK, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review VIRGIN WINES's risk adjusted performance of 0.0952, and Coefficient Of Variation of 879.4 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, VIRGIN WINES holds a performance score of 9. The entity has a beta of 0.19, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, VIRGIN WINES's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding VIRGIN WINES is expected to be smaller as well. Please check VIRGIN WINES's treynor ratio, downside variance, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether VIRGIN WINES's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation
-0.33
Poor reverse predictability
VIRGIN WINES UK has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VIRGIN WINES time series from 30th of April 2025 to 14th of June 2025 and 14th of June 2025 to 29th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VIRGIN WINES UK price movement. The serial correlation of -0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current VIRGIN WINES price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.33
Spearman Rank Test
-0.12
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
0.0
VIRGIN WINES UK lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is VIRGIN WINES stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VIRGIN WINES's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VIRGIN WINES returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VIRGIN WINES has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
VIRGIN WINES regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VIRGIN WINES stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VIRGIN WINES stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VIRGIN WINES stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
VIRGIN WINES Lagged Returns
When evaluating VIRGIN WINES's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VIRGIN WINES stock have on its future price. VIRGIN WINES autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VIRGIN WINES autocorrelation shows the relationship between VIRGIN WINES stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VIRGIN WINES UK.
VIRGIN WINES financial ratios help investors to determine whether VIRGIN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VIRGIN with respect to the benefits of owning VIRGIN WINES security.