Is Coty Stock a Good Investment?

Coty Investment Advice

  COTY
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Coty Inc stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Coty Inc. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Coty in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Coty's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Coty's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Coty navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Personal Care Products space and any emerging trends that could impact Coty's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Coty's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Coty is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Coty pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Coty's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Coty Inc stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Coty Inc is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Coty Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Coty is not overpriced, please confirm all Coty Inc fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Given that Coty Inc has a price to earning of 84.22 X, we suggest you to validate Coty Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Coty Stock

Researching Coty's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.68. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Coty Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.23. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2020.
To determine if Coty is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Coty's research are outlined below:
Coty Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coty Inc currently holds 4.26 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Coty Inc has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Coty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Coty Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 61.0% of Coty shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from zacks.com: COTYs Q1 Earnings Sales Miss as Chinese Mainland Struggles Persist

Coty Quarterly Good Will

3.91 Billion

Coty uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Coty Inc. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Coty's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
7th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of August 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of June 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Coty's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Coty's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-05-06
2024-03-310.060.05-0.0116 
2023-08-22
2023-06-300.020.01-0.0150 
2019-11-06
2019-09-300.060.070.0116 
2015-08-13
2015-06-300.070.080.0114 
2022-05-09
2022-03-310.010.030.02200 
2017-05-10
2017-03-310.130.150.0215 
2014-08-28
2014-06-300.050.03-0.0240 
2013-09-17
2013-06-300.010.030.02200 

Coty Target Price Consensus

Coty target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Coty's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   20  Strong Buy
Most Coty analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Coty stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Coty Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Coty Target Price Projection

Coty's current and average target prices are 7.25 and 12.89, respectively. The current price of Coty is the price at which Coty Inc is currently trading. On the other hand, Coty's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Coty Market Quote on 8th of November 2024

Low Price7.02Odds
High Price7.44Odds

7.25

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Coty Target Price

Low Estimate11.73Odds
High Estimate14.31Odds

12.89

Historical Lowest Forecast  11.73 Target Price  12.89 Highest Forecast  14.31
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Coty Inc and the information provided on this page.

Coty Analyst Ratings

Coty's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Coty stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Coty's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Coty's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Coty's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Coty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coty Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Coty's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Coty's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
7.2 M
Ruffer Llp2024-06-30
6.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
6.2 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
6.1 M
Thrivent Financial For Lutherans2024-06-30
5.8 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
5.7 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-06-30
5.6 M
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
4.9 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
4.2 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
41.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
35.9 M
Note, although Coty's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Coty's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 6.45 B.

Market Cap

6.52 Billion

Coty's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.02 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.03 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.14 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.14.
Determining Coty's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Coty is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Coty's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Coty's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Coty's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Coty's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Coty Inc. Check Coty's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Coty's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Coty's management efficiency

Coty Inc has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0296 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0296 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0441 %, meaning that it created $0.0441 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Coty's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Coty manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to rise to 0.02 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to rise to 0.06 in 2024. At this time, Coty's Fixed Asset Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is likely to rise to 0.01 in 2024, whereas Deferred Long Term Asset Charges is likely to drop slightly above 12.6 M in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 4.69  4.39 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(3.85)(4.04)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 12.39  17.43 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.23  2.12 
Enterprise Value Multiple 12.39  17.43 
Price Fair Value 2.23  2.12 
Enterprise Value16 B9.9 B
Understanding the operational decisions made by Coty management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Beta
1.892

Basic technical analysis of Coty Stock

As of the 8th of November, Coty shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1), mean deviation of 1.7, and Standard Deviation of 2.4. Coty Inc technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Coty's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Coty insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Coty's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Coty insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Coty's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Coty issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Coty Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Coty bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Coty Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Coty's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Coty's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Coty's intraday indicators

Coty intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Coty stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Coty Corporate Filings

8K
7th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
22nd of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
26th of September 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
31st of May 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
Coty time-series forecasting models is one of many Coty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Coty's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Coty Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Coty that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Coty media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Coty internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Coty data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Coty news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Coty relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Coty's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Coty alpha.

Coty Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Coty can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Coty Inc Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Coty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Coty. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Coty can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Coty Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Coty's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Coty and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Coty news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Coty.

Coty Corporate Directors

Mariasun LarreguiIndependent DirectorProfile
Anna MakanjuIndependent DirectorProfile
Olivier GoudetIndependent DirectorProfile
Erhard SchoewelIndependent DirectorProfile

Additional Tools for Coty Stock Analysis

When running Coty's price analysis, check to measure Coty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coty is operating at the current time. Most of Coty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.