Bridger Aerospace Group Beneish M Score

BAERW Stock   0.48  0.01  2.13%   
This module uses fundamental data of Bridger Aerospace to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Bridger Aerospace M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out
  
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At this time, Bridger Aerospace's Net Debt To EBITDA is fairly stable compared to the past year. Debt To Assets is likely to climb to 0.87 in 2026, whereas Net Debt is likely to drop slightly above 170.9 M in 2026. At this time, Bridger Aerospace's Interest Coverage is fairly stable compared to the past year. Capex To Operating Cash Flow is likely to climb to 0.41 in 2026, whereas Days Sales Outstanding is likely to drop 23.46 in 2026.
At this time, it appears that Bridger Aerospace is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Bridger Aerospace's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Bridger Aerospace executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Bridger Aerospace's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.83
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

2.05

Focus
Asset Quality

N/A

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.03

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.61

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.03

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

N/A

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.51

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.12

Focus

Bridger Aerospace Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Bridger Aerospace's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables7.2 M6.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue58.2 M113.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets263.4 M334.4 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets54.4 M73.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total209 M261.1 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization10.3 M20.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative43.7 M82.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities24 M21.1 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total196.4 M246 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Net Debt170.9 M199.2 M
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Short Term Debt3.2 M4.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt159.3 M232.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.230.38
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Bridger Aerospace Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Bridger Aerospace's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Bridger Aerospace in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Bridger Aerospace's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Bridger Aerospace Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

10.34 Million

At this time, Bridger Aerospace's Depreciation And Amortization is fairly stable compared to the past year.

Bridger Aerospace Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Bridger Aerospace. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Net Receivables35.0K29K4.1M5.9M6.8M7.2M
Total Revenue39.4M46.4M66.7M98.6M113.4M58.2M
Total Assets195.1M306.0M273.5M290.8M334.4M263.4M
Total Current Assets22.1M106.9M45.2M63.8M73.4M54.4M
Net Debt47.2M178.5M191.7M173.2M199.2M170.9M
Short Term Debt2.2M2.5M4.3M4.0M4.6M3.2M
Long Term Debt58.1M205.5M204.6M202.5M232.8M159.3M
Operating Income1.6M(22.6M)(57.5M)5.3M4.8M5.0M
Investments(54.8M)(89.8M)15.8M2.1M2.4M2.5M

About Bridger Aerospace Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Bridger Aerospace Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Bridger Aerospace using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bridger Aerospace Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Bridger Stock Analysis

When running Bridger Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Bridger Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bridger Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Bridger Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bridger Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bridger Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bridger Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.