Twilio (Germany) Performance

TWH Stock  EUR 96.38  5.21  5.71%   
The entity has a beta of 0.13, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Twilio's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Twilio is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Twilio Inc has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to validate Twilio's skewness, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Twilio Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Twilio Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
1
Twilio releases AI report 59 percent plan to replace 31-point satisfaction gap - Stock Titan
11/13/2025
2
3 Reasons to Avoid TWLO and 1 Stock to Buy Instead - Finviz
12/08/2025
3
Twilio 2025s Acceleration Aint Stopping - Seeking Alpha
12/29/2025
4
Is Twilio stock ready for a major turnaround in 2026 - MSN
01/08/2026
5
Twilio, Datadog, Box, monday.com, and BlackLine Shares Are Falling, What You Need To Know - Finviz
01/14/2026
6
Twilio schedules Feb. 12 webcast on Q4 and full-year 2025 results - Stock Titan
01/21/2026
7
Twilio Inc. TWLO Shares Sold by SG Americas Securities LLC - MarketBeat
01/29/2026
8
Trading the Move, Not the Narrative Edition - Stock Traders Daily
02/05/2026
  

Twilio Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  11,190  in Twilio Inc on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,552) from holding Twilio Inc or give up 13.87% of portfolio value over 90 days. Twilio Inc is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.9278% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 26% of traded stocks are less volatile than Twilio, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Twilio is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.66 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Twilio Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Twilio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 96.38 90 days 96.38 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Twilio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Twilio Inc probability density function shows the probability of Twilio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Twilio has a beta of 0.13. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Twilio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Twilio Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Twilio Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Twilio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Twilio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Twilio Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.9992.8195.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.7783.59100.29
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.17-0.140.05
Details

Twilio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Twilio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Twilio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Twilio Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Twilio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
7.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Twilio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Twilio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Twilio Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Twilio Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 4.46 B. Net Loss for the year was (109.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.42 B.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading the Move, Not the Narrative Edition - Stock Traders Daily

Twilio Fundamentals Growth

Twilio Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Twilio, and Twilio fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Twilio Stock performance.

About Twilio Performance

By analyzing Twilio's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Twilio's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Twilio has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Twilio has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Twilio Inc. provides a cloud communications platform that enables developers to build, scale, and operate communications within software applications in the United States and internationally. Twilio Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. TWILIO INC operates under Software - Application classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 2369 people.

Things to note about Twilio Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Twilio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Twilio Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Twilio Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 4.46 B. Net Loss for the year was (109.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.42 B.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading the Move, Not the Narrative Edition - Stock Traders Daily
Evaluating Twilio's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Twilio's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Twilio's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Twilio's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Twilio's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Twilio's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Twilio's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Twilio's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Twilio's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Twilio's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Twilio's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Twilio Stock analysis

When running Twilio's price analysis, check to measure Twilio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Twilio is operating at the current time. Most of Twilio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Twilio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Twilio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Twilio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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