Picocela American Depositary Stock Performance

PCLA Stock   4.60  0.32  6.50%   
PicoCELA American holds a performance score of 3 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company holds a Beta of 1.28, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PicoCELA American will likely underperform. Use PicoCELA American maximum drawdown, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to analyze future returns on PicoCELA American.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PicoCELA American Depositary are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak essential indicators, PicoCELA American sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(6.46)
Five Day Return
(8.87)
Year To Date Return
(50.36)
Ten Year Return
(94.60)
All Time Return
(94.60)
Last Split Factor
1:30
Last Split Date
2026-01-26
1
Is PicoCELA Inc. Depositary Receipt stock affected by interest rate hikes - Recession Risk Real-Time Buy Zone Alerts - DonanmHaber
12/19/2025
2
PicoCELA announces 1-for-30 reverse share split effective January 26 - Investing.com
01/20/2026
3
PicoCELA, Inc. ADR Delays Annual 20-F Filing - TipRanks
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow477.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-46.2 M

PicoCELA American Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  884.00  in PicoCELA American Depositary on November 26, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (424.00) from holding PicoCELA American Depositary or give up 47.96% of portfolio value over 90 days. PicoCELA American Depositary is currently generating 1.1826% in daily expected returns and assumes 28.8292% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than PicoCELA, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days PicoCELA American is expected to generate 37.82 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 37.82 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

PicoCELA American Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of PicoCELA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.60 90 days 4.60 
about 90.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PicoCELA American to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.21 (This PicoCELA American Depositary probability density function shows the probability of PicoCELA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.28 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, PicoCELA American will likely underperform. Additionally PicoCELA American Depositary has an alpha of 0.7784, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PicoCELA American Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PicoCELA American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PicoCELA American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.244.8133.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.224.4233.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.14.8333.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.925.135.74
Details

PicoCELA American Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PicoCELA American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PicoCELA American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PicoCELA American Depositary, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PicoCELA American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.78
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.28
σ
Overall volatility
2.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

PicoCELA American Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PicoCELA American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PicoCELA American can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PicoCELA American is way too risky over 90 days horizon
PicoCELA American appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
PicoCELA American has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 546.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (628.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 290.61 M.
PicoCELA American generates negative cash flow from operations
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: PicoCELA, Inc. ADR Delays Annual 20-F Filing - TipRanks

PicoCELA American Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PicoCELA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PicoCELA American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PicoCELA American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments541.5 M

PicoCELA American Fundamentals Growth

PicoCELA Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of PicoCELA American, and PicoCELA American fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PicoCELA Stock performance.

About PicoCELA American Performance

By analyzing PicoCELA American's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into PicoCELA American's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if PicoCELA American has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if PicoCELA American has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 432.80  454.44 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.69)(0.72)
Return On Capital Employed(1.10)(1.16)
Return On Assets(0.66)(0.69)
Return On Equity(1.52)(1.60)

Things to note about PicoCELA American performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about PicoCELA American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PicoCELA American help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PicoCELA American is way too risky over 90 days horizon
PicoCELA American appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
PicoCELA American has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 546.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (628.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 290.61 M.
PicoCELA American generates negative cash flow from operations
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: PicoCELA, Inc. ADR Delays Annual 20-F Filing - TipRanks
Evaluating PicoCELA American's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate PicoCELA American's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing PicoCELA American's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PicoCELA American's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining PicoCELA American's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating PicoCELA American's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PicoCELA American's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PicoCELA American's stock. These opinions can provide insight into PicoCELA American's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating PicoCELA American's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact PicoCELA American's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for PicoCELA Stock analysis

When running PicoCELA American's price analysis, check to measure PicoCELA American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PicoCELA American is operating at the current time. Most of PicoCELA American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PicoCELA American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PicoCELA American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PicoCELA American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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