Northern Oil Gas Stock Performance
| NOG Stock | USD 24.30 0.46 1.86% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.11, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Northern Oil will likely underperform. At this point, Northern Oil Gas has a negative expected return of -0.5%. Please make sure to verify Northern Oil's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day median price , to decide if Northern Oil Gas performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Northern Oil Gas has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in June 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.86) | Five Day Return 4.25 | Year To Date Return (35.65) | Ten Year Return (72.51) | All Time Return (19.80) |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0745 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 1:10 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.8 | Dividend Date 2025-04-30 |
1 | NOG Posts Lower Earnings, Revenue in Fourth Quarter | 02/25/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 2777 shares by Adam Dirlam of Northern Oil at 26.68 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/27/2025 |
3 | Zacks Research Has Pessimistic Outlook of NOG Q2 Earnings | 03/07/2025 |
4 | Northern Oil and Gas Down 13 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Rebound | 03/21/2025 |
5 | NOG Schedules First Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call NOG Stock News | 04/10/2025 |
6 | Northern Oil and Gas Price Target Reduced Amid Oil Price Concerns NOG Stock News | 04/14/2025 |
7 | NOG Provides Update on First Quarter Hedging Results and Shareholder Returns | 04/16/2025 |
8 | Natixis Makes New Investment in Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | 04/21/2025 |
9 | Earnings Preview Northern Oil and Gas Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline | 04/22/2025 |
10 | NOG Publishes 2024 ESG Report | 04/23/2025 |
11 | X2 Resources Announces Equity Commitment | 04/24/2025 |
| Northern Oil dividend paid on 30th of April 2025 | 04/30/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 8.2 M |
Northern Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,543 in Northern Oil Gas on January 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,113) from holding Northern Oil Gas or give up 31.41% of portfolio value over 90 days. Northern Oil Gas is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 4.6431% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 41% of stocks are less volatile than Northern, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Northern Oil Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Oil's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Northern Oil Gas, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Northern Oil's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.1077
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | NOG |
Estimated Market Risk
| 4.64 actual daily | 41 59% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.5 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.11 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Northern Oil is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Northern Oil by adding Northern Oil to a well-diversified portfolio.
Northern Oil Fundamentals Growth
Northern Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northern Oil, and Northern Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northern Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.24 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.26 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.26 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 4.75 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 98.85 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 9.03 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.03 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.22 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.16 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.58 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.58 B | ||||
| Net Income | 520.31 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.53 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.02 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.37 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 7.22 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.60 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 23.54 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.41 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 5.27 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.45 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 5.6 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 442.52 M | ||||
| Working Capital | (43.53 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 850.93 K | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 1.14 M | ||||
About Northern Oil Performance
By analyzing Northern Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Northern Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Northern Oil has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Northern Oil has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 27.73 | 26.34 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.09 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.17 | 0.17 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.09 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.22 | 0.45 |
Things to note about Northern Oil Gas performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Northern Oil Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Northern Oil Gas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Northern Oil Gas has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Northern Oil Gas has 2.37 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.22, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Northern Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Northern to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Northern Oil Gas has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 92.0% of Northern Oil shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 30th of April 2025 Northern Oil paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: X2 Resources Announces Equity Commitment |
- Analyzing Northern Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Northern Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Northern Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Northern Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Northern Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Northern Oil's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Northern Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
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When running Northern Oil's price analysis, check to measure Northern Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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