Forward Air Stock Performance

FWRD Stock  USD 14.62  1.56  9.64%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.46, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Forward Air are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Forward Air is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Forward Air has a negative expected return of -1.07%. Please make sure to confirm Forward Air's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator , to decide if Forward Air performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Forward Air has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.68)
Five Day Return
(11.73)
Year To Date Return
(54.43)
Ten Year Return
(72.44)
All Time Return
307.87
Last Split Factor
3:2
Dividend Date
2023-12-07
Ex Dividend Date
2023-11-21
Last Split Date
2005-04-04
1
Disposition of 244 shares by Michael Hance of Forward Air subject to Rule 16b-3
02/07/2025
2
Why Forward Air Stock Dropped on Thursday
02/27/2025
3
Insider Trading
03/11/2025
4
Disposition of 678 shares by Joseph Tomasello of Forward Air subject to Rule 16b-3
03/18/2025
5
Forward Air Corp Shares Gap Down to 20.98 on Mar 25
03/25/2025
6
Forward Air loses 2 more board members
04/01/2025
7
Is Forward Air Corporation the Best Freight Stock to Buy According to Hedge Funds
04/04/2025
8
Why Forward Air Stock Had Some Serious Lift Today
04/09/2025
9
Vivrelle And Revolve Partner On Gamechanging Technology Thats The Future Of Styling
04/10/2025
10
Disposition of 1640350 shares by Hodge Michael B of Forward Air subject to Rule 16b-3
04/17/2025
Begin Period Cash FlowB

Forward Air Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,337  in Forward Air on January 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,875) from holding Forward Air or give up 56.19% of portfolio value over 90 days. Forward Air is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 7.1297% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 63% of stocks are less volatile than Forward, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Forward Air is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.15 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.09 per unit of volatility.

Forward Air Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Forward Air's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Forward Air, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Forward Air's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1499

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Negative ReturnsFWRD

Estimated Market Risk

 7.13
  actual daily
63
63% of assets are less volatile

Expected Return

 -1.07
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.15
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Forward Air is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Forward Air by adding Forward Air to a well-diversified portfolio.

Forward Air Fundamentals Growth

Forward Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Forward Air, and Forward Air fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Forward Stock performance.

About Forward Air Performance

By analyzing Forward Air's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Forward Air's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Forward Air has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Forward Air has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.64)(0.61)
Return On Capital Employed(0.44)(0.42)
Return On Assets(0.29)(0.28)
Return On Equity(4.05)(3.85)

Things to note about Forward Air performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Forward Air for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Forward Air help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Forward Air generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Forward Air has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.12 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 483.63 M.
Forward Air currently holds about 46.85 M in cash with (75.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.74.
Forward Air has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1640350 shares by Hodge Michael B of Forward Air subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Forward Air's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Forward Air's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Forward Air's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Forward Air's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Forward Air's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Forward Air's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Forward Air's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Forward Air's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Forward Air's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Forward Air's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Forward Air's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Forward Stock analysis

When running Forward Air's price analysis, check to measure Forward Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forward Air is operating at the current time. Most of Forward Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forward Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forward Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forward Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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