Farmers National Banc Stock Performance

FMNB Stock  USD 12.85  0.09  0.71%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.04, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Farmers National returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Farmers National is expected to follow. Farmers National Banc right now shows a risk of 1.63%. Please confirm Farmers National Banc expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to decide if Farmers National Banc will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Farmers National Banc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Farmers National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
 
Farmers National dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow103.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-95.1 M

Farmers National Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,283  in Farmers National Banc on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2.00  from holding Farmers National Banc or generate 0.16% return on investment over 90 days. Farmers National Banc is currently generating 0.0156% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.6285% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Farmers, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmers National is expected to generate 3.46 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.18 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Farmers National Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Farmers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.85 90 days 12.85 
about 90.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Farmers National to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.64 (This Farmers National Banc probability density function shows the probability of Farmers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This usually indicates Farmers National Banc market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Farmers National is expected to follow. Additionally Farmers National Banc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Farmers National Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Farmers National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmers National Banc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2212.8514.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6013.2314.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.6613.2914.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.8713.4113.95
Details

Farmers National Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Farmers National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Farmers National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Farmers National Banc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Farmers National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Farmers National Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Farmers National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Farmers National Banc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 31st of December 2025 Farmers National paid $ 0.17 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Farmers National Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Farmers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Farmers National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmers National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments651.9 M

Farmers National Fundamentals Growth

Farmers Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Farmers National, and Farmers National fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Farmers Stock performance.

About Farmers National Performance

By analyzing Farmers National's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Farmers National's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Farmers National has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Farmers National has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Farmers National Banc Corp., a financial holding company, operates in the banking, trust, retirement consulting, insurance, and financial management industries. The company was founded in 1887 and is based in Canfield, Ohio. Farmers Natl operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 550 people.

Things to note about Farmers National Banc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Farmers National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Farmers National Banc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 31st of December 2025 Farmers National paid $ 0.17 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Evaluating Farmers National's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Farmers National's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Farmers National's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Farmers National's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Farmers National's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Farmers National's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Farmers National's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Farmers National's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Farmers National's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Farmers National's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Farmers National's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Farmers National's price analysis, check to measure Farmers National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmers National is operating at the current time. Most of Farmers National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmers National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmers National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmers National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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