Boqii Holding Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BQ Stock | USD 1.71 0.04 2.29% |
Boqii Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Boqii Holding's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Boqii Holding's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Boqii Holding fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of rsi of Boqii Holding's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 13
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 16.9 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
Using Boqii Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boqii Holding Limited from the perspective of Boqii Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Boqii Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Boqii Holding Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.58.Boqii Holding Limited Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Boqii Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Boqii. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Boqii can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Boqii Holding Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Boqii Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Boqii Holding.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Boqii Holding Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.58. Boqii Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 1.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boqii Holding to cross-verify your projections. Boqii Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Boqii price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boqii using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boqii charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Boqii Holding Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Boqii Holding's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2019-12-31 | Previous Quarter 38.7 M | Current Value 30.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 100 M |
Boqii Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Boqii Holding Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 1.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boqii Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boqii Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Boqii Holding Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Boqii Holding | Boqii Holding Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Boqii Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Boqii Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boqii Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 9.66, respectively. We have considered Boqii Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boqii Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boqii Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.3448 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5901 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.2045 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.5841 |
Predictive Modules for Boqii Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boqii Holding Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Boqii Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Boqii Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boqii Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boqii Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Boqii Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Boqii Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boqii Holding's historical news coverage. Boqii Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 15.09, respectively. We have considered Boqii Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Boqii Holding is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boqii Holding Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Boqii Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Boqii Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boqii Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boqii Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.01 | 9.34 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 22 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 22 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.71 | 1.71 | 0.00 |
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Boqii Holding Hype Timeline
As of January 29, 2026 Boqii Holding Limited is listed for 1.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Boqii is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Boqii Holding is about 7263.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.58. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.29. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Boqii Holding Limited recorded a loss per share of 0.54. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 21st of January 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 22 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boqii Holding to cross-verify your projections.Boqii Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Boqii Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boqii Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Boqii Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boqii Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JFBR | Jeffs Brands | 0.07 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 13.75 | (17.50) | 166.56 | |
| ARKO | Arko Corp | 0.01 | 10 per month | 2.63 | 0.1 | 5.91 | (2.93) | 18.08 | |
| ZOOZW | ZOOZ Power Ltd | 0.0001 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 20.00 | (20.26) | 53.33 | |
| VMAR | Vision Marine Technologies | (0.42) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 9.84 | (24.10) | 208.75 | |
| CTHR | Charles Colvard | (0.42) | 30 per month | 27.49 | 0.17 | 150.00 | (61.15) | 597.51 | |
| WBUY | WEBUY GLOBAL LTD | (0.42) | 4 per month | 9.54 | 0.03 | 22.73 | (11.74) | 153.14 | |
| NVVE | Nuvve Holding Corp | (0.07) | 10 per month | 11.89 | 0.01 | 34.19 | (20.38) | 250.51 | |
| EZGO | EZGO Technologies | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 11.58 | (10.70) | 73.20 | |
| IVP | Inspire Veterinary Partners | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 33.33 | (43.59) | 357,210 | |
| JWEL | Jowell Global | (0.05) | 6 per month | 3.27 | 0.09 | 9.57 | (6.43) | 24.83 |
Other Forecasting Options for Boqii Holding
For every potential investor in Boqii, whether a beginner or expert, Boqii Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boqii Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boqii. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boqii Holding's price trends.Boqii Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Boqii Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Boqii Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boqii Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Boqii Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boqii Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boqii Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boqii Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Boqii Holding Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Boqii Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Boqii Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boqii Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boqii stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 19.21 | |||
| Variance | 368.99 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Boqii Holding
The number of cover stories for Boqii Holding depends on current market conditions and Boqii Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boqii Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boqii Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Boqii Holding Short Properties
Boqii Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Boqii Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Boqii Holding Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boqii Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boqii Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 42.7 M |
Additional Tools for Boqii Stock Analysis
When running Boqii Holding's price analysis, check to measure Boqii Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boqii Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Boqii Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boqii Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boqii Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boqii Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.