Ypf Sociedad Anonima Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.69
| YPF Stock | USD 35.55 0.61 1.75% |
YPF |
YPF Sociedad Target Price Odds to finish below 21.69
The tendency of YPF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 21.69 or more in 90 days |
| 35.55 | 90 days | 21.69 | about 18.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of YPF Sociedad to drop to $ 21.69 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.5 (This YPF Sociedad Anonima probability density function shows the probability of YPF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of YPF Sociedad Anonima price to stay between $ 21.69 and its current price of $35.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.38 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon YPF Sociedad has a beta of 0.84. This entails as returns on the market go up, YPF Sociedad average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding YPF Sociedad Anonima will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally YPF Sociedad Anonima has an alpha of 0.6974, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). YPF Sociedad Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for YPF Sociedad
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YPF Sociedad Anonima. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.YPF Sociedad Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. YPF Sociedad is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the YPF Sociedad's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold YPF Sociedad Anonima, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of YPF Sociedad within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.28 |
YPF Sociedad Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of YPF Sociedad for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for YPF Sociedad Anonima can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the last year's revenue of 17 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.56 T) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 650.78 B. | |
| YPF Sociedad Anonima has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: YPF SA Shares Up 7.87 percent on Nov 19 |
YPF Sociedad Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of YPF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential YPF Sociedad's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. YPF Sociedad's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 391.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
YPF Sociedad Technical Analysis
YPF Sociedad's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. YPF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of YPF Sociedad Anonima. In general, you should focus on analyzing YPF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
YPF Sociedad Predictive Forecast Models
YPF Sociedad's time-series forecasting models is one of many YPF Sociedad's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary YPF Sociedad's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about YPF Sociedad Anonima
Checking the ongoing alerts about YPF Sociedad for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for YPF Sociedad Anonima help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 17 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.56 T) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 650.78 B. | |
| YPF Sociedad Anonima has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: YPF SA Shares Up 7.87 percent on Nov 19 |
Check out YPF Sociedad Backtesting, YPF Sociedad Valuation, YPF Sociedad Correlation, YPF Sociedad Hype Analysis, YPF Sociedad Volatility, YPF Sociedad History as well as YPF Sociedad Performance. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of YPF Sociedad. If investors know YPF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about YPF Sociedad listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.198 | Earnings Share 1.98 | Revenue Per Share 29.6 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 3.234 | Return On Assets 0.0445 |
The market value of YPF Sociedad Anonima is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YPF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YPF Sociedad's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YPF Sociedad's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because YPF Sociedad's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YPF Sociedad's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YPF Sociedad's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YPF Sociedad is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YPF Sociedad's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.