TRAVEL LEISURE (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 52.16
| WD5A Stock | EUR 48.80 0.20 0.41% |
TRAVEL |
TRAVEL LEISURE Target Price Odds to finish below 52.16
The tendency of TRAVEL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 52.16 after 90 days |
| 48.80 | 90 days | 52.16 | about 90.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TRAVEL LEISURE to stay under € 52.16 after 90 days from now is about 90.3 (This TRAVEL LEISURE DL 01 probability density function shows the probability of TRAVEL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TRAVEL LEISURE DL price to stay between its current price of € 48.80 and € 52.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TRAVEL LEISURE has a beta of 0.21. This entails as returns on the market go up, TRAVEL LEISURE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TRAVEL LEISURE DL 01 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TRAVEL LEISURE DL 01 has an alpha of 0.3068, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TRAVEL LEISURE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TRAVEL LEISURE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TRAVEL LEISURE DL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TRAVEL LEISURE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TRAVEL LEISURE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TRAVEL LEISURE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TRAVEL LEISURE DL 01, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TRAVEL LEISURE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
TRAVEL LEISURE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TRAVEL LEISURE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TRAVEL LEISURE DL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TRAVEL LEISURE DL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.54 B. Net Loss for the year was (90 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.57 B. | |
| Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
TRAVEL LEISURE Technical Analysis
TRAVEL LEISURE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TRAVEL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TRAVEL LEISURE DL 01. In general, you should focus on analyzing TRAVEL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TRAVEL LEISURE Predictive Forecast Models
TRAVEL LEISURE's time-series forecasting models is one of many TRAVEL LEISURE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TRAVEL LEISURE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TRAVEL LEISURE DL
Checking the ongoing alerts about TRAVEL LEISURE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TRAVEL LEISURE DL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TRAVEL LEISURE DL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.54 B. Net Loss for the year was (90 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.57 B. | |
| Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in TRAVEL Stock
TRAVEL LEISURE financial ratios help investors to determine whether TRAVEL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TRAVEL with respect to the benefits of owning TRAVEL LEISURE security.