Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 9.34

TTUUF Stock  USD 9.34  0.00  0.00%   
Tokyu Fudosan's future price is the expected price of Tokyu Fudosan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tokyu Fudosan Analysis, Tokyu Fudosan Valuation, Tokyu Fudosan Correlation, Tokyu Fudosan Hype Analysis, Tokyu Fudosan Volatility, Tokyu Fudosan Price History as well as Tokyu Fudosan Performance.
  
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Tokyu Fudosan Target Price Odds to finish over 9.34

The tendency of Tokyu Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.34 90 days 9.34 
about 28.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokyu Fudosan to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.93 (This Tokyu Fudosan Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Tokyu Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tokyu Fudosan Holdings has a beta of -0.56. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tokyu Fudosan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tokyu Fudosan Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tokyu Fudosan Holdings has an alpha of 0.2397, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tokyu Fudosan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tokyu Fudosan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokyu Fudosan Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tokyu Fudosan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.259.3411.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.487.579.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.019.1011.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.349.349.34
Details

Tokyu Fudosan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tokyu Fudosan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tokyu Fudosan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tokyu Fudosan Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tokyu Fudosan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.56
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Tokyu Fudosan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tokyu Fudosan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tokyu Fudosan Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Tokyu Fudosan Technical Analysis

Tokyu Fudosan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tokyu Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tokyu Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tokyu Fudosan Predictive Forecast Models

Tokyu Fudosan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tokyu Fudosan's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tokyu Fudosan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tokyu Fudosan Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tokyu Fudosan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tokyu Fudosan Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Tokyu Pink Sheet

Tokyu Fudosan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tokyu Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tokyu with respect to the benefits of owning Tokyu Fudosan security.