Tokyo Electric (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.30
| TPO Stock | EUR 3.30 0.28 7.82% |
Tokyo |
Tokyo Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 3.30
The tendency of Tokyo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.30 | 90 days | 3.30 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokyo Electric to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Tokyo Electric Power probability density function shows the probability of Tokyo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tokyo Electric Power has a beta of -0.0588. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tokyo Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tokyo Electric Power is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tokyo Electric Power has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tokyo Electric Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tokyo Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokyo Electric Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tokyo Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tokyo Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tokyo Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tokyo Electric Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tokyo Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Tokyo Electric Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tokyo Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tokyo Electric Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tokyo Electric Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tokyo Electric Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tokyo Electric Power has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Tokyo Electric Power has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Tokyo Electric Power has accumulated 2.77 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 203.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Tokyo Electric Power has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tokyo Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tokyo Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tokyo Electric Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tokyo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tokyo Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Tokyo Electric Technical Analysis
Tokyo Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tokyo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tokyo Electric Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tokyo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tokyo Electric Predictive Forecast Models
Tokyo Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tokyo Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tokyo Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tokyo Electric Power
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tokyo Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tokyo Electric Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tokyo Electric Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tokyo Electric Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tokyo Electric Power has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Tokyo Electric Power has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Tokyo Electric Power has accumulated 2.77 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 203.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Tokyo Electric Power has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tokyo Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tokyo Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tokyo Electric Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tokyo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tokyo Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Tokyo Stock
Tokyo Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tokyo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tokyo with respect to the benefits of owning Tokyo Electric security.