Alpha Teknova Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.77
| TKNO Stock | USD 7.29 1.03 16.45% |
Alpha |
Alpha Teknova Target Price Odds to finish below 0.77
The tendency of Alpha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.77 or more in 90 days |
| 7.29 | 90 days | 0.77 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpha Teknova to drop to $ 0.77 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Alpha Teknova probability density function shows the probability of Alpha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alpha Teknova price to stay between $ 0.77 and its current price of $7.29 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alpha Teknova has a beta of 0.7. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Alpha Teknova average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alpha Teknova will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Alpha Teknova has an alpha of 1.9853, implying that it can generate a 1.99 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alpha Teknova Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alpha Teknova
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Teknova. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alpha Teknova's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alpha Teknova Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpha Teknova is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpha Teknova's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpha Teknova, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpha Teknova within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.99 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.27 |
Alpha Teknova Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpha Teknova for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpha Teknova can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alpha Teknova is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alpha Teknova appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.48 M. | |
| Alpha Teknova currently holds about 64.73 M in cash with (18.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.3. | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Revenues Tell The Story For Alpha Teknova, Inc. As Its Stock Soars 42 |
Alpha Teknova Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alpha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alpha Teknova's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alpha Teknova's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.5 M |
Alpha Teknova Technical Analysis
Alpha Teknova's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alpha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alpha Teknova. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alpha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alpha Teknova Predictive Forecast Models
Alpha Teknova's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alpha Teknova's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alpha Teknova's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alpha Teknova
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alpha Teknova for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alpha Teknova help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alpha Teknova is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alpha Teknova appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.48 M. | |
| Alpha Teknova currently holds about 64.73 M in cash with (18.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.3. | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Revenues Tell The Story For Alpha Teknova, Inc. As Its Stock Soars 42 |
Check out Alpha Teknova Backtesting, Alpha Teknova Valuation, Alpha Teknova Correlation, Alpha Teknova Hype Analysis, Alpha Teknova Volatility, Alpha Teknova History as well as Alpha Teknova Performance. To learn how to invest in Alpha Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alpha Teknova guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alpha Teknova. If investors know Alpha will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alpha Teknova listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.90) | Revenue Per Share 0.917 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) | Return On Assets (0.15) | Return On Equity (0.42) |
The market value of Alpha Teknova is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alpha that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alpha Teknova's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alpha Teknova's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alpha Teknova's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alpha Teknova's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alpha Teknova's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alpha Teknova is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alpha Teknova's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.