Thrivent Government Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.99
| TBFIX Fund | USD 9.08 0.03 0.33% |
Thrivent |
Thrivent Government Target Price Odds to finish over 9.99
The tendency of Thrivent Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.99 or more in 90 days |
| 9.08 | 90 days | 9.99 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thrivent Government to move over $ 9.99 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Thrivent Government Bond probability density function shows the probability of Thrivent Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thrivent Government Bond price to stay between its current price of $ 9.08 and $ 9.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thrivent Government Bond has a beta of -0.0303. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Thrivent Government are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Thrivent Government Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Thrivent Government Bond has an alpha of 0.0637, implying that it can generate a 0.0637 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Thrivent Government Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Thrivent Government
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thrivent Government Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thrivent Government's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Thrivent Government Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thrivent Government is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thrivent Government's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thrivent Government Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thrivent Government within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Thrivent Government Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thrivent Government for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thrivent Government Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Thrivent Government Bond maintains about 8.16% of its assets in cash |
Thrivent Government Technical Analysis
Thrivent Government's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thrivent Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thrivent Government Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thrivent Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thrivent Government Predictive Forecast Models
Thrivent Government's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thrivent Government's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thrivent Government's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Thrivent Government Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about Thrivent Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thrivent Government Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Thrivent Government Bond maintains about 8.16% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Thrivent Mutual Fund
Thrivent Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thrivent Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thrivent with respect to the benefits of owning Thrivent Government security.
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