Alianza Minerals Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.28
| TARSF Stock | USD 0.28 0.01 3.70% |
Alianza |
Alianza Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 0.28
The tendency of Alianza OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.28 | 90 days | 0.28 | about 23.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alianza Minerals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.63 (This Alianza Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Alianza OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.41 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Alianza Minerals will likely underperform. Additionally Alianza Minerals has an alpha of 0.7832, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alianza Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alianza Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alianza Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alianza Minerals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alianza Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alianza Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alianza Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alianza Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alianza Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Alianza Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alianza Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alianza Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alianza Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alianza Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alianza Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Alianza Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (939.12 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (33.7 K). | |
| Alianza Minerals has accumulated about 310.81 K in cash with (1.34 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Alianza Minerals Technical Analysis
Alianza Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alianza OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alianza Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alianza OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alianza Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
Alianza Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Alianza Minerals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alianza Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alianza Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alianza Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alianza Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alianza Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alianza Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alianza Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Alianza Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (939.12 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (33.7 K). | |
| Alianza Minerals has accumulated about 310.81 K in cash with (1.34 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Alianza OTC Stock
Alianza Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alianza OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alianza with respect to the benefits of owning Alianza Minerals security.