Crossmark Steward Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 28.20
| SMNIX Fund | USD 29.68 0.06 0.20% |
Crossmark |
Crossmark Steward Target Price Odds to finish below 28.20
The tendency of Crossmark Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 28.20 or more in 90 days |
| 29.68 | 90 days | 28.20 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crossmark Steward to drop to $ 28.20 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Crossmark Steward Equity probability density function shows the probability of Crossmark Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crossmark Steward Equity price to stay between $ 28.20 and its current price of $29.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.02 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Crossmark Steward has a beta of 0.005. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Crossmark Steward average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crossmark Steward Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crossmark Steward Equity has an alpha of 0.0042, implying that it can generate a 0.004225 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Crossmark Steward Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Crossmark Steward
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crossmark Steward Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crossmark Steward's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Crossmark Steward Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crossmark Steward is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crossmark Steward's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crossmark Steward Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crossmark Steward within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Crossmark Steward Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crossmark Steward for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crossmark Steward Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 78.9% of its assets in cash |
Crossmark Steward Technical Analysis
Crossmark Steward's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crossmark Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crossmark Steward Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crossmark Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crossmark Steward Predictive Forecast Models
Crossmark Steward's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crossmark Steward's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crossmark Steward's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crossmark Steward Equity
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crossmark Steward for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crossmark Steward Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 78.9% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Crossmark Mutual Fund
Crossmark Steward financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crossmark Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crossmark with respect to the benefits of owning Crossmark Steward security.
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