Strix Group (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.56

SG9 Stock  EUR 0.54  0.02  3.85%   
Strix Group's future price is the expected price of Strix Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Strix Group Plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Strix Group Backtesting, Strix Group Valuation, Strix Group Correlation, Strix Group Hype Analysis, Strix Group Volatility, Strix Group History as well as Strix Group Performance.
  
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Strix Group Target Price Odds to finish over 8.56

The tendency of Strix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 8.56  or more in 90 days
 0.54 90 days 8.56 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Strix Group to move over € 8.56  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Strix Group Plc probability density function shows the probability of Strix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Strix Group Plc price to stay between its current price of € 0.54  and € 8.56  at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Strix Group Plc has a beta of -0.0157. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Strix Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Strix Group Plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Strix Group Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Strix Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Strix Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Strix Group Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.543.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.513.13
Details

Strix Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Strix Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Strix Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Strix Group Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Strix Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.66
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Strix Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Strix Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Strix Group Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Strix Group Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Strix Group Plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Strix Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Strix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Strix Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Strix Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.08
Float Shares177.53M
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.02%

Strix Group Technical Analysis

Strix Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Strix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Strix Group Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Strix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Strix Group Predictive Forecast Models

Strix Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Strix Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Strix Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Strix Group Plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Strix Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Strix Group Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Strix Group Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Strix Group Plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Strix Stock

Strix Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Strix Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Strix with respect to the benefits of owning Strix Group security.