Repay Holdings Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.93
| RPAY Stock | USD 7.86 0.23 3.01% |
Repay |
Repay Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 7.93
The tendency of Repay Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 7.93 after 90 days |
| 7.86 | 90 days | 7.93 | about 12.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Repay Holdings to stay under $ 7.93 after 90 days from now is about 12.87 (This Repay Holdings Corp probability density function shows the probability of Repay Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Repay Holdings Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 7.86 and $ 7.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.6 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Repay Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Repay Holdings Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Repay Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Repay Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Repay Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Repay Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Repay Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Repay Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Repay Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Repay Holdings Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Repay Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Repay Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Repay Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Repay Holdings Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Repay Holdings Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 296.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (110.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 214.4 M. | |
| Repay Holdings Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Even after rising 9.5 percent this past week, Repay Holdings shareholders are still down 64 percent over the past three years |
Repay Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Repay Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Repay Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Repay Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 118.1 M |
Repay Holdings Technical Analysis
Repay Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Repay Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Repay Holdings Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Repay Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Repay Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Repay Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Repay Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Repay Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Repay Holdings Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Repay Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Repay Holdings Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Repay Holdings Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 296.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (110.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 214.4 M. | |
| Repay Holdings Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Even after rising 9.5 percent this past week, Repay Holdings shareholders are still down 64 percent over the past three years |
Additional Tools for Repay Stock Analysis
When running Repay Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Repay Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Repay Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Repay Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Repay Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Repay Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Repay Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.