Kidpik Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02
| PIK Stock | USD 2.18 0.41 15.83% |
Kidpik |
Kidpik Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of Kidpik Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 2.18 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kidpik Corp to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kidpik Corp probability density function shows the probability of Kidpik Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kidpik Corp price to stay between $ 0.02 and its current price of $2.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.13 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.08 indicating Kidpik Corp market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Kidpik Corp is expected to follow. Additionally Kidpik Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kidpik Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kidpik Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kidpik Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kidpik Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kidpik Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kidpik Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kidpik Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kidpik Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Kidpik Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kidpik Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kidpik Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kidpik Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kidpik Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kidpik Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 14.24 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (9.91 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 13 M. | |
| Kidpik Corp has about 2.47 M in cash with (322.33 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.32. | |
| Kidpik Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Chobani Announces Pricing of its Upsized 650 Million Private Offering of Senior PIK Toggle Notes |
Kidpik Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kidpik Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kidpik Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kidpik Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 199.1 K |
Kidpik Corp Technical Analysis
Kidpik Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kidpik Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kidpik Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kidpik Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kidpik Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Kidpik Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kidpik Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kidpik Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kidpik Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kidpik Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kidpik Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kidpik Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kidpik Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kidpik Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 14.24 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (9.91 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 13 M. | |
| Kidpik Corp has about 2.47 M in cash with (322.33 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.32. | |
| Kidpik Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Chobani Announces Pricing of its Upsized 650 Million Private Offering of Senior PIK Toggle Notes |
Check out Kidpik Corp Backtesting, Kidpik Corp Valuation, Kidpik Corp Correlation, Kidpik Corp Hype Analysis, Kidpik Corp Volatility, Kidpik Corp History as well as Kidpik Corp Performance. For more information on how to buy Kidpik Stock please use our How to buy in Kidpik Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kidpik Corp. If investors know Kidpik will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kidpik Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (5.06) | Revenue Per Share 5.536 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.67) | Return On Assets (0.41) | Return On Equity (4.80) |
The market value of Kidpik Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kidpik that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kidpik Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kidpik Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kidpik Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kidpik Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kidpik Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kidpik Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kidpik Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.