Orex Minerals Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.24

ORMNF Stock  USD 0.24  0.01  4.35%   
Orex Minerals' future price is the expected price of Orex Minerals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Orex Minerals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Orex Minerals Analysis, Orex Minerals Valuation, Orex Minerals Correlation, Orex Minerals Hype Analysis, Orex Minerals Volatility, Orex Minerals Price History as well as Orex Minerals Performance.
  
Please specify Orex Minerals' target price for which you would like Orex Minerals odds to be computed.

Orex Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 0.24

The tendency of Orex OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.24 90 days 0.24 
about 13.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orex Minerals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.22 (This Orex Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Orex OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Orex Minerals will likely underperform. Moreover Orex Minerals has an alpha of 1.2698, implying that it can generate a 1.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Orex Minerals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Orex Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orex Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.248.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.218.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.238.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.790.250.30
Details

Orex Minerals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orex Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orex Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orex Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orex Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.50
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Orex Minerals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orex Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orex Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orex Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Orex Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Orex Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Orex Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Orex Minerals has accumulated about 2.87 M in cash with (1.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Orex Minerals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orex OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orex Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orex Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding187.4 M
Shares Float147.3 M

Orex Minerals Technical Analysis

Orex Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orex OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orex Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orex OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Orex Minerals Predictive Forecast Models

Orex Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Orex Minerals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orex Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Orex Minerals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Orex Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orex Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orex Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Orex Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Orex Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Orex Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Orex Minerals has accumulated about 2.87 M in cash with (1.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Orex OTC Stock

Orex Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orex OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orex with respect to the benefits of owning Orex Minerals security.