Ofs Credit Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 24.78

OCCIO Preferred Stock  USD 24.79  0.06  0.24%   
OFS Credit's future price is the expected price of OFS Credit instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of OFS Credit performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out OFS Credit Backtesting, OFS Credit Valuation, OFS Credit Correlation, OFS Credit Hype Analysis, OFS Credit Volatility, OFS Credit History as well as OFS Credit Performance.
To learn how to invest in OFS Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in OFS Credit guide.
  
Please specify OFS Credit's target price for which you would like OFS Credit odds to be computed.

OFS Credit Target Price Odds to finish below 24.78

The tendency of OFS Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 24.78  or more in 90 days
 24.79 90 days 24.78 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OFS Credit to drop to $ 24.78  or more in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This OFS Credit probability density function shows the probability of OFS Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OFS Credit price to stay between $ 24.78  and its current price of $24.79 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon OFS Credit has a beta of 0.0181. This indicates as returns on the market go up, OFS Credit average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding OFS Credit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally OFS Credit has an alpha of 0.0461, implying that it can generate a 0.0461 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   OFS Credit Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OFS Credit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OFS Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OFS Credit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4124.7925.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.2124.5924.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.3624.7425.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.0224.4524.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as OFS Credit. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against OFS Credit's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, OFS Credit's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in OFS Credit.

OFS Credit Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OFS Credit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OFS Credit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OFS Credit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OFS Credit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

OFS Credit Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OFS Credit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OFS Credit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Net Loss for the year was (13.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.22 M.
OFS Credit has accumulated about 8.68 M in cash with (14.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.0.

OFS Credit Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OFS Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OFS Credit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OFS Credit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.4 M
Dividends Paid3.6 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.53

OFS Credit Technical Analysis

OFS Credit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OFS Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OFS Credit. In general, you should focus on analyzing OFS Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

OFS Credit Predictive Forecast Models

OFS Credit's time-series forecasting models is one of many OFS Credit's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OFS Credit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about OFS Credit

Checking the ongoing alerts about OFS Credit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OFS Credit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Net Loss for the year was (13.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.22 M.
OFS Credit has accumulated about 8.68 M in cash with (14.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.0.

Other Information on Investing in OFS Preferred Stock

OFS Credit financial ratios help investors to determine whether OFS Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OFS with respect to the benefits of owning OFS Credit security.