Newtekone, 850 Percent Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.2

NEWTG Stock   25.20  0.06  0.24%   
NewtekOne, 850's future price is the expected price of NewtekOne, 850 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NewtekOne, 850 percent performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NewtekOne, 850 Backtesting, NewtekOne, 850 Valuation, NewtekOne, 850 Correlation, NewtekOne, 850 Hype Analysis, NewtekOne, 850 Volatility, NewtekOne, 850 History as well as NewtekOne, 850 Performance.
  
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NewtekOne, 850 Target Price Odds to finish over 25.2

The tendency of NewtekOne, Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.20 90 days 25.20 
about 8.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NewtekOne, 850 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.89 (This NewtekOne, 850 percent probability density function shows the probability of NewtekOne, Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NewtekOne, 850 has a beta of 0.14. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NewtekOne, 850 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NewtekOne, 850 percent will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NewtekOne, 850 percent has an alpha of 0.0169, implying that it can generate a 0.0169 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NewtekOne, 850 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NewtekOne, 850

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NewtekOne, 850 percent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NewtekOne, 850's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9225.2025.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.7425.0225.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.9525.2425.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.9425.0925.24
Details

NewtekOne, 850 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NewtekOne, 850 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NewtekOne, 850's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NewtekOne, 850 percent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NewtekOne, 850 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

NewtekOne, 850 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NewtekOne, 850 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NewtekOne, 850 percent can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 3rd of September 2024 NewtekOne, 850 paid 0.5372 per share dividend to its current shareholders

NewtekOne, 850 Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NewtekOne, Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NewtekOne, 850's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NewtekOne, 850's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0215
Shares Short Prior Month1298

NewtekOne, 850 Technical Analysis

NewtekOne, 850's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NewtekOne, Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NewtekOne, 850 percent. In general, you should focus on analyzing NewtekOne, Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NewtekOne, 850 Predictive Forecast Models

NewtekOne, 850's time-series forecasting models is one of many NewtekOne, 850's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NewtekOne, 850's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NewtekOne, 850 percent

Checking the ongoing alerts about NewtekOne, 850 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NewtekOne, 850 percent help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 3rd of September 2024 NewtekOne, 850 paid 0.5372 per share dividend to its current shareholders
When determining whether NewtekOne, 850 percent is a strong investment it is important to analyze NewtekOne, 850's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact NewtekOne, 850's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NewtekOne, Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Diversified Financial Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NewtekOne, 850. If investors know NewtekOne, will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NewtekOne, 850 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of NewtekOne, 850 percent is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NewtekOne, that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NewtekOne, 850's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NewtekOne, 850's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NewtekOne, 850's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NewtekOne, 850's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NewtekOne, 850's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NewtekOne, 850 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NewtekOne, 850's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.