Motor General (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.44
| MOTOGENFIN | 26.17 0.04 0.15% |
Motor |
Motor General Target Price Odds to finish below 26.44
The tendency of Motor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 26.44 after 90 days |
| 26.17 | 90 days | 26.44 | about 31.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Motor General to stay under 26.44 after 90 days from now is about 31.17 (This The Motor General probability density function shows the probability of Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Motor General price to stay between its current price of 26.17 and 26.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.46 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Motor General will likely underperform. Additionally The Motor General has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Motor General Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Motor General
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Motor General. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Motor General Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Motor General is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Motor General's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Motor General, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Motor General within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Motor General Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Motor General for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Motor General can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Motor General had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ford Vs General Motors Which Auto Stock is the Better Investment After Q2 Earnings - Yahoo Finance |
Motor General Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Motor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Motor General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Motor General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Motor General Technical Analysis
Motor General's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Motor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Motor General. In general, you should focus on analyzing Motor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Motor General Predictive Forecast Models
Motor General's time-series forecasting models is one of many Motor General's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Motor General's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Motor General
Checking the ongoing alerts about Motor General for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Motor General help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Motor General had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ford Vs General Motors Which Auto Stock is the Better Investment After Q2 Earnings - Yahoo Finance |
Other Information on Investing in Motor Stock
Motor General financial ratios help investors to determine whether Motor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Motor with respect to the benefits of owning Motor General security.