Mndvux Fund Chance of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 20.7

MNDVUX Fund   20.64  0.02  0.1%   
Mndvux's future price is the expected price of Mndvux instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mndvux performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mndvux Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mndvux Correlation, Mndvux Hype Analysis, Mndvux Volatility, Mndvux History as well as Mndvux Performance.
  
Please specify Mndvux's target price for which you would like Mndvux odds to be computed.

Mndvux Target Price Odds to finish below 20.7

The tendency of Mndvux Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  20.70  after 90 days
 20.64 90 days 20.70 
about 90.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mndvux to stay under  20.70  after 90 days from now is about 90.12 (This Mndvux probability density function shows the probability of Mndvux Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mndvux price to stay between its current price of  20.64  and  20.70  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mndvux has a beta of 0.88. This indicates Mndvux market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mndvux is expected to follow. Additionally Mndvux has an alpha of 0.0075, implying that it can generate a 0.007542 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mndvux Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mndvux

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mndvux. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mndvux's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8620.6421.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.6920.4721.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.1120.8921.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.2620.6220.97
Details

Mndvux Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mndvux is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mndvux's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mndvux, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mndvux within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.88
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Mndvux Technical Analysis

Mndvux's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mndvux Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mndvux. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mndvux Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mndvux Predictive Forecast Models

Mndvux's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mndvux's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mndvux's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Mndvux in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Mndvux's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Mndvux options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Mndvux Fund

Mndvux financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mndvux Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mndvux with respect to the benefits of owning Mndvux security.
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