Blackrock Advantage Global Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 29.87

MKGCX Fund  USD 30.81  0.04  0.13%   
Blackrock Advantage's future price is the expected price of Blackrock Advantage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackrock Advantage Global performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackrock Advantage Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Blackrock Advantage Correlation, Blackrock Advantage Hype Analysis, Blackrock Advantage Volatility, Blackrock Advantage History as well as Blackrock Advantage Performance.
  
Please specify Blackrock Advantage's target price for which you would like Blackrock Advantage odds to be computed.

Blackrock Advantage Target Price Odds to finish over 29.87

The tendency of Blackrock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 29.87  in 90 days
 30.81 90 days 29.87 
about 37.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackrock Advantage to stay above $ 29.87  in 90 days from now is about 37.28 (This Blackrock Advantage Global probability density function shows the probability of Blackrock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackrock Advantage price to stay between $ 29.87  and its current price of $30.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blackrock Advantage has a beta of 0.78. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Blackrock Advantage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blackrock Advantage Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blackrock Advantage Global has an alpha of 0.0255, implying that it can generate a 0.0255 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blackrock Advantage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackrock Advantage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackrock Advantage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackrock Advantage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.0630.8131.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.7333.7434.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.6731.4232.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.6830.2630.84
Details

Blackrock Advantage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackrock Advantage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackrock Advantage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackrock Advantage Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackrock Advantage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Blackrock Advantage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackrock Advantage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackrock Advantage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.74% of its assets in stocks

Blackrock Advantage Technical Analysis

Blackrock Advantage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackrock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackrock Advantage Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackrock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackrock Advantage Predictive Forecast Models

Blackrock Advantage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackrock Advantage's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackrock Advantage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackrock Advantage

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackrock Advantage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackrock Advantage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.74% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Blackrock Mutual Fund

Blackrock Advantage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackrock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackrock with respect to the benefits of owning Blackrock Advantage security.
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