Mountain Crest Acquisition Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.85
| MCAGU Stock | USD 11.30 0.19 1.71% |
Mountain |
Mountain Crest Target Price Odds to finish below 4.85
The tendency of Mountain Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 4.85 or more in 90 days |
| 11.30 | 90 days | 4.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mountain Crest to drop to $ 4.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mountain Crest Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Mountain Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mountain Crest Acqui price to stay between $ 4.85 and its current price of $11.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mountain Crest Acquisition has a beta of -0.2. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mountain Crest are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mountain Crest Acquisition is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mountain Crest Acquisition has an alpha of 0.0585, implying that it can generate a 0.0585 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mountain Crest Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Mountain Crest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mountain Crest Acqui. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mountain Crest's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mountain Crest Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mountain Crest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mountain Crest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mountain Crest Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mountain Crest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0037 |
Mountain Crest Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mountain Crest for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mountain Crest Acqui can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mountain Crest Acqui has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Mountain Crest Acquisition has accumulated about 193.98 K in cash with (470.68 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Mountain Crest Acqui has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Mountain Crest Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mountain Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mountain Crest's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mountain Crest's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 M |
Mountain Crest Technical Analysis
Mountain Crest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mountain Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mountain Crest Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mountain Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mountain Crest Predictive Forecast Models
Mountain Crest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mountain Crest's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mountain Crest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mountain Crest Acqui
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mountain Crest for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mountain Crest Acqui help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mountain Crest Acqui has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Mountain Crest Acquisition has accumulated about 193.98 K in cash with (470.68 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Mountain Crest Acqui has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Additional Tools for Mountain Stock Analysis
When running Mountain Crest's price analysis, check to measure Mountain Crest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mountain Crest is operating at the current time. Most of Mountain Crest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mountain Crest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mountain Crest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mountain Crest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.