Lxp Industrial Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.12
| LXP Stock | USD 9.53 0.03 0.32% |
LXP |
LXP Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over 13.12
The tendency of LXP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 13.12 or more in 90 days |
| 9.53 | 90 days | 13.12 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LXP Industrial to move over $ 13.12 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This LXP Industrial Trust probability density function shows the probability of LXP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LXP Industrial Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 9.53 and $ 13.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.13 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon LXP Industrial has a beta of 0.89. This indicates LXP Industrial Trust market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, LXP Industrial is expected to follow. Additionally LXP Industrial Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LXP Industrial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for LXP Industrial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LXP Industrial Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LXP Industrial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LXP Industrial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LXP Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LXP Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LXP Industrial Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LXP Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
LXP Industrial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LXP Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LXP Industrial Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LXP Industrial Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of October 2024 LXP Industrial paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FMR LLC Reduces Stake in LXP Industrial Trust |
LXP Industrial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LXP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LXP Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LXP Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 291.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 329.4 M |
LXP Industrial Technical Analysis
LXP Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LXP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LXP Industrial Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing LXP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LXP Industrial Predictive Forecast Models
LXP Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many LXP Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LXP Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LXP Industrial Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about LXP Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LXP Industrial Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LXP Industrial Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of October 2024 LXP Industrial paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FMR LLC Reduces Stake in LXP Industrial Trust |
Additional Tools for LXP Stock Analysis
When running LXP Industrial's price analysis, check to measure LXP Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LXP Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of LXP Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LXP Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LXP Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LXP Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.