Aeye Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.95
| LIDR Stock | USD 1.00 0.07 6.54% |
Aeye |
Aeye Target Price Odds to finish below 0.95
The tendency of Aeye Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.95 or more in 90 days |
| 1.00 | 90 days | 0.95 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aeye to drop to $ 0.95 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aeye Inc probability density function shows the probability of Aeye Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aeye Inc price to stay between $ 0.95 and its current price of $1.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.14 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.31 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aeye will likely underperform. Additionally Aeye Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aeye Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aeye
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aeye Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aeye's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aeye Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aeye is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aeye's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aeye Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aeye within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Aeye Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aeye for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aeye Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aeye Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aeye Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aeye Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aeye Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (87.13 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.08 M). | |
| Aeye Inc currently holds about 125.76 M in cash with (50.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79. | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: AEye, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Aeye Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aeye Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aeye's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aeye's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.5 M |
Aeye Technical Analysis
Aeye's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aeye Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aeye Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aeye Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aeye Predictive Forecast Models
Aeye's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aeye's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aeye's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aeye Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aeye for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aeye Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aeye Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aeye Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aeye Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aeye Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (87.13 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.08 M). | |
| Aeye Inc currently holds about 125.76 M in cash with (50.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79. | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: AEye, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Additional Tools for Aeye Stock Analysis
When running Aeye's price analysis, check to measure Aeye's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aeye is operating at the current time. Most of Aeye's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aeye's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aeye's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aeye to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.