QURATE RETAIL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.03
| LB3C Stock | EUR 3.02 0.38 14.39% |
QURATE |
QURATE RETAIL Target Price Odds to finish below 3.03
The tendency of QURATE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 3.03 after 90 days |
| 3.02 | 90 days | 3.03 | about 36.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of QURATE RETAIL to stay under € 3.03 after 90 days from now is about 36.8 (This QURATE RETAIL INC probability density function shows the probability of QURATE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of QURATE RETAIL INC price to stay between its current price of € 3.02 and € 3.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, QURATE RETAIL will likely underperform. Additionally QURATE RETAIL INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. QURATE RETAIL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for QURATE RETAIL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QURATE RETAIL INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of QURATE RETAIL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
QURATE RETAIL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. QURATE RETAIL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the QURATE RETAIL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold QURATE RETAIL INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of QURATE RETAIL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
QURATE RETAIL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of QURATE RETAIL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for QURATE RETAIL INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| QURATE RETAIL INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| QURATE RETAIL INC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| QURATE RETAIL INC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
QURATE RETAIL Technical Analysis
QURATE RETAIL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QURATE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of QURATE RETAIL INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing QURATE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
QURATE RETAIL Predictive Forecast Models
QURATE RETAIL's time-series forecasting models is one of many QURATE RETAIL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary QURATE RETAIL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about QURATE RETAIL INC
Checking the ongoing alerts about QURATE RETAIL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for QURATE RETAIL INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| QURATE RETAIL INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| QURATE RETAIL INC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| QURATE RETAIL INC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in QURATE Stock
QURATE RETAIL financial ratios help investors to determine whether QURATE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in QURATE with respect to the benefits of owning QURATE RETAIL security.