Kyivstar Group Ltd Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.5
| KYIV Stock | 12.83 0.67 4.96% |
Closest to current price Kyivstar long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Kyivstar Group Target Price Odds to finish below 13.5
The tendency of Kyivstar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 13.50 after 90 days |
| 12.83 | 90 days | 13.50 | about 62.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kyivstar Group to stay under 13.50 after 90 days from now is about 62.49 (This Kyivstar Group Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Kyivstar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kyivstar Group price to stay between its current price of 12.83 and 13.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.28 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Kyivstar Group will likely underperform. Additionally Kyivstar Group Ltd has an alpha of 0.0501, implying that it can generate a 0.0501 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kyivstar Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kyivstar Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kyivstar Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kyivstar Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kyivstar Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kyivstar Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kyivstar Group Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kyivstar Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Kyivstar Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kyivstar Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kyivstar Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kyivstar Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Kyivstar stock slides on Nasdaq as Ukraine telecom bucks market gains - ts2.tech |
Kyivstar Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kyivstar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kyivstar Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kyivstar Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 230.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 467 M |
Kyivstar Group Technical Analysis
Kyivstar Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kyivstar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kyivstar Group Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kyivstar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kyivstar Group Predictive Forecast Models
Kyivstar Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kyivstar Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kyivstar Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kyivstar Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kyivstar Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kyivstar Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kyivstar Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Kyivstar stock slides on Nasdaq as Ukraine telecom bucks market gains - ts2.tech |
Additional Tools for Kyivstar Stock Analysis
When running Kyivstar Group's price analysis, check to measure Kyivstar Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kyivstar Group is operating at the current time. Most of Kyivstar Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kyivstar Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kyivstar Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kyivstar Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.