Jackson Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 88.88

JXN Stock  USD 99.01  0.96  0.98%   
Jackson Financial's future price is the expected price of Jackson Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jackson Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jackson Financial Backtesting, Jackson Financial Valuation, Jackson Financial Correlation, Jackson Financial Hype Analysis, Jackson Financial Volatility, Jackson Financial History as well as Jackson Financial Performance.
To learn how to invest in Jackson Stock, please use our How to Invest in Jackson Financial guide.
  
At this time, Jackson Financial's Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 14th of October 2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 4.71, though Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (0.05). Please specify Jackson Financial's target price for which you would like Jackson Financial odds to be computed.

Jackson Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 88.88

The tendency of Jackson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 88.88  or more in 90 days
 99.01 90 days 88.88 
about 70.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jackson Financial to drop to $ 88.88  or more in 90 days from now is about 70.48 (This Jackson Financial probability density function shows the probability of Jackson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jackson Financial price to stay between $ 88.88  and its current price of $99.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.02 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.78 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Jackson Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Jackson Financial has an alpha of 0.1187, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jackson Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jackson Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jackson Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jackson Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.8398.90101.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.2265.28108.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.92100.00103.07
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.6739.2043.51
Details

Jackson Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jackson Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jackson Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jackson Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jackson Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.78
σ
Overall volatility
6.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Jackson Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jackson Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jackson Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jackson Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Jackson Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 19th of September 2024 Jackson Financial paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Jackson Financial Price Target Raised to 111.00

Jackson Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jackson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jackson Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jackson Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments43.1 B

Jackson Financial Technical Analysis

Jackson Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jackson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jackson Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jackson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jackson Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Jackson Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jackson Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jackson Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jackson Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jackson Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jackson Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jackson Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Jackson Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 19th of September 2024 Jackson Financial paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Jackson Financial Price Target Raised to 111.00
When determining whether Jackson Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Jackson Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Jackson Financial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Jackson Financial Stock:
Is Diversified Financial Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jackson Financial. If investors know Jackson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jackson Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.76)
Dividend Share
2.64
Earnings Share
27.75
Revenue Per Share
56.447
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.282
The market value of Jackson Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jackson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jackson Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jackson Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jackson Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jackson Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jackson Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jackson Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jackson Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.