Jacquet Metal (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.80

I43 Stock  EUR 17.20  0.10  0.58%   
Jacquet Metal's future price is the expected price of Jacquet Metal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jacquet Metal Service performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jacquet Metal Backtesting, Jacquet Metal Valuation, Jacquet Metal Correlation, Jacquet Metal Hype Analysis, Jacquet Metal Volatility, Jacquet Metal History as well as Jacquet Metal Performance.
  
Please specify Jacquet Metal's target price for which you would like Jacquet Metal odds to be computed.

Jacquet Metal Target Price Odds to finish below 15.80

The tendency of Jacquet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 15.80  or more in 90 days
 17.20 90 days 15.80 
about 37.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jacquet Metal to drop to € 15.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 37.11 (This Jacquet Metal Service probability density function shows the probability of Jacquet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jacquet Metal Service price to stay between € 15.80  and its current price of €17.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jacquet Metal Service has a beta of -0.33. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jacquet Metal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jacquet Metal Service is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jacquet Metal Service has an alpha of 0.2372, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jacquet Metal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jacquet Metal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jacquet Metal Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.8017.3018.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.3116.8118.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.9517.4518.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.7215.9917.26
Details

Jacquet Metal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jacquet Metal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jacquet Metal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jacquet Metal Service, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jacquet Metal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Jacquet Metal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jacquet Metal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jacquet Metal Service can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jacquet Metal has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Jacquet Metal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jacquet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jacquet Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jacquet Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23 M

Jacquet Metal Technical Analysis

Jacquet Metal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jacquet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jacquet Metal Service. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jacquet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jacquet Metal Predictive Forecast Models

Jacquet Metal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jacquet Metal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jacquet Metal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jacquet Metal Service

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jacquet Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jacquet Metal Service help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jacquet Metal has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Jacquet Stock

Jacquet Metal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jacquet Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jacquet with respect to the benefits of owning Jacquet Metal security.