Hamamatsu Photonics Kk Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 11.60
| HPHTF Stock | USD 11.60 0.10 0.87% |
Hamamatsu |
Hamamatsu Photonics Target Price Odds to finish over 11.60
The tendency of Hamamatsu Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 11.60 | 90 days | 11.60 | about 11.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hamamatsu Photonics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.29 (This Hamamatsu Photonics KK probability density function shows the probability of Hamamatsu Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hamamatsu Photonics has a beta of 0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hamamatsu Photonics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hamamatsu Photonics KK will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hamamatsu Photonics KK has an alpha of 0.0801, implying that it can generate a 0.0801 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hamamatsu Photonics Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Hamamatsu Photonics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hamamatsu Photonics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hamamatsu Photonics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hamamatsu Photonics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hamamatsu Photonics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hamamatsu Photonics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hamamatsu Photonics KK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hamamatsu Photonics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Hamamatsu Photonics Technical Analysis
Hamamatsu Photonics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hamamatsu Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hamamatsu Photonics KK. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hamamatsu Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hamamatsu Photonics Predictive Forecast Models
Hamamatsu Photonics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hamamatsu Photonics' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hamamatsu Photonics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hamamatsu Photonics in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hamamatsu Photonics' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hamamatsu Photonics options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Hamamatsu Pink Sheet
Hamamatsu Photonics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hamamatsu Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hamamatsu with respect to the benefits of owning Hamamatsu Photonics security.