Guardian Exploration Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.18
| GXUSF Stock | USD 0.18 0.00 0.00% |
Guardian |
Guardian Exploration Target Price Odds to finish over 0.18
The tendency of Guardian OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.18 | 90 days | 0.18 | about 14.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guardian Exploration to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.71 (This Guardian Exploration probability density function shows the probability of Guardian OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guardian Exploration has a beta of 0.95. This usually indicates Guardian Exploration market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Guardian Exploration is expected to follow. Additionally Guardian Exploration has an alpha of 0.6197, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guardian Exploration Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guardian Exploration
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guardian Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guardian Exploration's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guardian Exploration Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guardian Exploration is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guardian Exploration's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guardian Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guardian Exploration within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Guardian Exploration Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guardian Exploration for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guardian Exploration can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guardian Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Guardian Exploration appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Guardian Exploration has accumulated 40.84 K in total debt. Guardian Exploration has a current ratio of 0.03, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Guardian Exploration until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Guardian Exploration's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Guardian Exploration sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Guardian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Guardian Exploration's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (634.45 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Guardian Exploration has accumulated about 3.31 K in cash with (283.12 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Guardian Exploration Technical Analysis
Guardian Exploration's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guardian OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guardian Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guardian OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guardian Exploration Predictive Forecast Models
Guardian Exploration's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guardian Exploration's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guardian Exploration's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guardian Exploration
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guardian Exploration for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guardian Exploration help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guardian Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Guardian Exploration appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Guardian Exploration has accumulated 40.84 K in total debt. Guardian Exploration has a current ratio of 0.03, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Guardian Exploration until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Guardian Exploration's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Guardian Exploration sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Guardian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Guardian Exploration's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (634.45 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Guardian Exploration has accumulated about 3.31 K in cash with (283.12 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Guardian OTC Stock
Guardian Exploration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guardian OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guardian with respect to the benefits of owning Guardian Exploration security.