Getty Realty Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.9
| GTY Stock | USD 31.71 0.26 0.81% |
Closest to current price Getty long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
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Getty Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 31.9
The tendency of Getty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 31.90 or more in 90 days |
| 31.71 | 90 days | 31.90 | about 20.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Getty Realty to move over $ 31.90 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.08 (This Getty Realty probability density function shows the probability of Getty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Getty Realty price to stay between its current price of $ 31.71 and $ 31.90 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.64 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Getty Realty has a beta of 0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Getty Realty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Getty Realty will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Getty Realty has an alpha of 0.0548, implying that it can generate a 0.0548 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Getty Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Getty Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Getty Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Getty Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Getty Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Getty Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Getty Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Getty Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Getty Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Getty Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Getty Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Getty Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Getty Realty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of October 2024 Getty Realty paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 Getty Realty Corp Earnings Call Transcript |
Getty Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Getty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Getty Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Getty Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 M |
Getty Realty Technical Analysis
Getty Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Getty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Getty Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Getty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Getty Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Getty Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Getty Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Getty Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Getty Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Getty Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Getty Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Getty Realty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of October 2024 Getty Realty paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 Getty Realty Corp Earnings Call Transcript |
Additional Tools for Getty Stock Analysis
When running Getty Realty's price analysis, check to measure Getty Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Getty Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Getty Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Getty Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Getty Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Getty Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.