Gatx Corporation Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 135.38
| GATX Stock | USD 138.07 1.04 0.75% |
Closest to current price GATX long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
GATX |
GATX Target Price Odds to finish below 135.38
The tendency of GATX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 135.38 or more in 90 days |
| 138.07 | 90 days | 135.38 | about 39.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GATX to drop to $ 135.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 39.48 (This GATX Corporation probability density function shows the probability of GATX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GATX price to stay between $ 135.38 and its current price of $138.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.09 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.18 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, GATX will likely underperform. Additionally GATX Corporation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GATX Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for GATX
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GATX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GATX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GATX Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GATX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GATX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GATX Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GATX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
GATX Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GATX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GATX can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1200 shares by Lahurd Christopher of GATX at 126.468 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
GATX Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GATX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GATX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GATX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 450.8 M |
GATX Technical Analysis
GATX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GATX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GATX Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing GATX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GATX Predictive Forecast Models
GATX's time-series forecasting models is one of many GATX's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GATX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GATX
Checking the ongoing alerts about GATX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GATX help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1200 shares by Lahurd Christopher of GATX at 126.468 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for GATX Stock Analysis
When running GATX's price analysis, check to measure GATX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GATX is operating at the current time. Most of GATX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GATX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GATX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GATX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.