Faurecia Se Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 16.75

FURCF Stock  USD 16.75  2.05  13.95%   
Faurecia's future price is the expected price of Faurecia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Faurecia SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Faurecia Backtesting, Faurecia Valuation, Faurecia Correlation, Faurecia Hype Analysis, Faurecia Volatility, Faurecia History as well as Faurecia Performance.
  
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Faurecia Target Price Odds to finish over 16.75

The tendency of Faurecia Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.75 90 days 16.75 
about 1.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Faurecia to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.87 (This Faurecia SE probability density function shows the probability of Faurecia Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Faurecia has a beta of 0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Faurecia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Faurecia SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Faurecia SE has an alpha of 0.3393, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Faurecia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Faurecia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Faurecia SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Faurecia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.9116.7519.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8212.6618.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.5418.3821.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.7915.3917.00
Details

Faurecia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Faurecia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Faurecia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Faurecia SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Faurecia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Faurecia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Faurecia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Faurecia SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Faurecia SE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 15.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (78.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.88 B.
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Faurecia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Faurecia Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Faurecia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Faurecia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Faurecia Technical Analysis

Faurecia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Faurecia Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Faurecia SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Faurecia Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Faurecia Predictive Forecast Models

Faurecia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Faurecia's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Faurecia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Faurecia SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about Faurecia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Faurecia SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Faurecia SE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 15.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (78.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.88 B.
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Faurecia Pink Sheet

Faurecia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Faurecia Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Faurecia with respect to the benefits of owning Faurecia security.