SALESFORCE INC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.43

FOO0 Stock   18.40  0.17  0.92%   
SALESFORCE INC's future price is the expected price of SALESFORCE INC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SALESFORCE INC CDR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SALESFORCE INC Backtesting, SALESFORCE INC Valuation, SALESFORCE INC Correlation, SALESFORCE INC Hype Analysis, SALESFORCE INC Volatility, SALESFORCE INC History as well as SALESFORCE INC Performance.
  
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SALESFORCE INC Target Price Odds to finish below 13.43

The tendency of SALESFORCE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  13.43  or more in 90 days
 18.40 90 days 13.43 
about 5.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SALESFORCE INC to drop to  13.43  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.53 (This SALESFORCE INC CDR probability density function shows the probability of SALESFORCE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SALESFORCE INC CDR price to stay between  13.43  and its current price of 18.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SALESFORCE INC CDR has a beta of -0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SALESFORCE INC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SALESFORCE INC CDR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SALESFORCE INC CDR has an alpha of 0.5355, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SALESFORCE INC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SALESFORCE INC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SALESFORCE INC CDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2518.4021.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.9117.0620.21
Details

SALESFORCE INC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SALESFORCE INC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SALESFORCE INC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SALESFORCE INC CDR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SALESFORCE INC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

SALESFORCE INC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SALESFORCE INC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SALESFORCE INC CDR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SALESFORCE INC CDR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

SALESFORCE INC Technical Analysis

SALESFORCE INC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SALESFORCE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SALESFORCE INC CDR. In general, you should focus on analyzing SALESFORCE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SALESFORCE INC Predictive Forecast Models

SALESFORCE INC's time-series forecasting models is one of many SALESFORCE INC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SALESFORCE INC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SALESFORCE INC CDR

Checking the ongoing alerts about SALESFORCE INC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SALESFORCE INC CDR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SALESFORCE INC CDR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in SALESFORCE Stock

SALESFORCE INC financial ratios help investors to determine whether SALESFORCE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SALESFORCE with respect to the benefits of owning SALESFORCE INC security.