Muirfield Fund Retail Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.44

FLMFX Fund  USD 10.57  0.10  0.94%   
Muirfield Fund's future price is the expected price of Muirfield Fund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Muirfield Fund Retail performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Muirfield Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Muirfield Fund Correlation, Muirfield Fund Hype Analysis, Muirfield Fund Volatility, Muirfield Fund History as well as Muirfield Fund Performance.
  
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Muirfield Fund Target Price Odds to finish over 10.44

The tendency of Muirfield Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 10.44  in 90 days
 10.57 90 days 10.44 
about 31.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Muirfield Fund to stay above $ 10.44  in 90 days from now is about 31.62 (This Muirfield Fund Retail probability density function shows the probability of Muirfield Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Muirfield Fund Retail price to stay between $ 10.44  and its current price of $10.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.79 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Muirfield Fund has a beta of 0.0904. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Muirfield Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Muirfield Fund Retail will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Muirfield Fund Retail has an alpha of 0.0428, implying that it can generate a 0.0428 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Muirfield Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Muirfield Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Muirfield Fund Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Muirfield Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5010.5711.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.9810.0511.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8610.9312.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5110.6010.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Muirfield Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Muirfield Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Muirfield Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Muirfield Fund Retail.

Muirfield Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Muirfield Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Muirfield Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Muirfield Fund Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Muirfield Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Muirfield Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Muirfield Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Muirfield Fund Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 59.43% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Muirfield Fund Technical Analysis

Muirfield Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Muirfield Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Muirfield Fund Retail. In general, you should focus on analyzing Muirfield Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Muirfield Fund Predictive Forecast Models

Muirfield Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Muirfield Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Muirfield Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Muirfield Fund Retail

Checking the ongoing alerts about Muirfield Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Muirfield Fund Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 59.43% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Muirfield Mutual Fund

Muirfield Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Muirfield Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Muirfield with respect to the benefits of owning Muirfield Fund security.
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