Templeton International Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 6.6
| FCNBX Fund | USD 6.60 0.01 0.15% |
Templeton |
Templeton International Target Price Odds to finish below 6.6
The tendency of Templeton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 6.60 | 90 days | 6.60 | about 76.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Templeton International to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 76.16 (This Templeton International Bond probability density function shows the probability of Templeton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Templeton International Bond has a beta of -0.0348. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Templeton International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Templeton International Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Templeton International Bond has an alpha of 0.0616, implying that it can generate a 0.0616 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Templeton International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Templeton International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Templeton International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Templeton International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Templeton International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Templeton International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Templeton International Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Templeton International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Templeton International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Templeton International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Templeton International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| Templeton International retains about 36.26% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Templeton International Technical Analysis
Templeton International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Templeton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Templeton International Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Templeton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Templeton International Predictive Forecast Models
Templeton International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Templeton International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Templeton International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Templeton International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Templeton International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Templeton International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| Templeton International retains about 36.26% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Templeton Mutual Fund
Templeton International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Templeton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Templeton with respect to the benefits of owning Templeton International security.
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