Us Micro Cap Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 30.81

DFSCX Fund  USD 31.33  0.54  1.75%   
Us Micro's future price is the expected price of Us Micro instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Us Micro Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Us Micro Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Us Micro Correlation, Us Micro Hype Analysis, Us Micro Volatility, Us Micro History as well as Us Micro Performance.
  
Please specify Us Micro's target price for which you would like Us Micro odds to be computed.

Us Micro Target Price Odds to finish over 30.81

The tendency of DFSCX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 30.81  in 90 days
 31.33 90 days 30.81 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Us Micro to stay above $ 30.81  in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Us Micro Cap probability density function shows the probability of DFSCX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Us Micro Cap price to stay between $ 30.81  and its current price of $31.33 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.67 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.64 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Us Micro will likely underperform. Additionally Us Micro Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Us Micro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Us Micro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Us Micro Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Us Micro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.9531.3332.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.4330.8132.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.9730.3531.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.6431.1531.66
Details

Us Micro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Us Micro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Us Micro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Us Micro Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Us Micro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.64
σ
Overall volatility
1.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Us Micro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Us Micro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Us Micro Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 98.81% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Us Micro Technical Analysis

Us Micro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DFSCX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Us Micro Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing DFSCX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Us Micro Predictive Forecast Models

Us Micro's time-series forecasting models is one of many Us Micro's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Us Micro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Us Micro Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Us Micro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Us Micro Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 98.81% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in DFSCX Mutual Fund

Us Micro financial ratios help investors to determine whether DFSCX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DFSCX with respect to the benefits of owning Us Micro security.
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