Capital Southwest Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.23
| CSWCZ Stock | 25.69 0.02 0.08% |
Capital |
Capital Southwest Target Price Odds to finish below 24.23
The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 24.23 or more in 90 days |
| 25.69 | 90 days | 24.23 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Southwest to drop to 24.23 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Capital Southwest probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Southwest price to stay between 24.23 and its current price of 25.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Capital Southwest has a beta of -0.1 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Capital Southwest are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Capital Southwest is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Capital Southwest has an alpha of 0.0181, implying that it can generate a 0.0181 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Capital Southwest Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capital Southwest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Southwest. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital Southwest's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Capital Southwest Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Southwest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Southwest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Southwest, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Southwest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Capital Southwest Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Southwest for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Southwest can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Capital Southwest has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Capital Southwest paid 0.4844 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Capital Southwest Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital Southwest's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Southwest's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Capital Southwest Technical Analysis
Capital Southwest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Southwest. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capital Southwest Predictive Forecast Models
Capital Southwest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Southwest's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital Southwest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Capital Southwest
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Southwest for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Southwest help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Capital Southwest has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Capital Southwest paid 0.4844 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Additional Tools for Capital Stock Analysis
When running Capital Southwest's price analysis, check to measure Capital Southwest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital Southwest is operating at the current time. Most of Capital Southwest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital Southwest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital Southwest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital Southwest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.