Canadian Imperial Bank Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 96.68

CM Stock  USD 96.68  2.15  2.27%   
Canadian Imperial's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Canadian Imperial Bank. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Canadian Imperial based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Canadian Imperial Bank over a specific time period. For example, CM260417C00097500 is a PUT option contract on Canadian Imperial's common stock with a strick price of 97.5 expiring on 2026-04-17. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 67 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.6, and an ask price of $4.7. The implied volatility as of the 9th of February is 67.0. View All Canadian options

Closest to current price Canadian long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Canadian Imperial's future price is the expected price of Canadian Imperial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Canadian Imperial Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Canadian Imperial Analysis, Canadian Imperial Valuation, Canadian Imperial Correlation, Canadian Imperial Hype Analysis, Canadian Imperial Volatility, Canadian Imperial Price History as well as Canadian Imperial Performance.
At this time, Canadian Imperial's Price Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. Please specify Canadian Imperial's target price for which you would like Canadian Imperial odds to be computed.

Canadian Imperial Target Price Odds to finish over 96.68

The tendency of Canadian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 96.68 90 days 96.68 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Canadian Imperial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Canadian Imperial Bank probability density function shows the probability of Canadian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Canadian Imperial has a beta of 0.64 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Canadian Imperial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Canadian Imperial Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Canadian Imperial Bank has an alpha of 0.1753, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Canadian Imperial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Canadian Imperial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canadian Imperial Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.6596.8898.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.0199.00100.23
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
80.1888.1197.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.192.372.46
Details

Canadian Imperial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Canadian Imperial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Canadian Imperial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Canadian Imperial Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Canadian Imperial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
3.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Canadian Imperial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Canadian Imperial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Canadian Imperial Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Canadian Imperial Bank reports about 212.28 B in cash with (23.34 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 234.66.
Canadian Imperial has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 28th of January 2026 Canadian Imperial paid $ 0.7661 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Analysts Set Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce PT at C126.09

Canadian Imperial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Canadian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Canadian Imperial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canadian Imperial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding940.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments92.8 B

Canadian Imperial Technical Analysis

Canadian Imperial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Canadian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Canadian Imperial Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Canadian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Canadian Imperial Predictive Forecast Models

Canadian Imperial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Canadian Imperial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Canadian Imperial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Canadian Imperial Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Canadian Imperial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Canadian Imperial Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Canadian Imperial Bank reports about 212.28 B in cash with (23.34 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 234.66.
Canadian Imperial has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 28th of January 2026 Canadian Imperial paid $ 0.7661 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Analysts Set Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce PT at C126.09
Will Diversified Banks sector continue expanding? Could Canadian diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Canadian Imperial. Projected growth potential of Canadian fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Canadian Imperial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.158
Dividend Share
3.88
Earnings Share
6.26
Revenue Per Share
28.642
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.125
Canadian Imperial Bank's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Canadian's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Canadian Imperial's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Canadian Imperial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Canadian Imperial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Canadian Imperial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Canadian Imperial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.