Cerberus Cyber Sentinel Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.88
| CISO Stock | USD 2.88 0.77 36.49% |
Cerberus |
Cerberus Cyber Target Price Odds to finish over 2.88
The tendency of Cerberus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.88 | 90 days | 2.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cerberus Cyber to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cerberus Cyber Sentinel probability density function shows the probability of Cerberus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cerberus Cyber Sentinel has a beta of -1.32 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Cerberus Cyber Sentinel are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Cerberus Cyber is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Cerberus Cyber Sentinel has an alpha of 2.5428, implying that it can generate a 2.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cerberus Cyber Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cerberus Cyber
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cerberus Cyber Sentinel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cerberus Cyber's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cerberus Cyber Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cerberus Cyber is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cerberus Cyber's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cerberus Cyber Sentinel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cerberus Cyber within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.26 |
Cerberus Cyber Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cerberus Cyber for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cerberus Cyber Sentinel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cerberus Cyber is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Cerberus Cyber appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Cerberus Cyber has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Cerberus Cyber Sentinel currently holds 14.31 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.2, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Cerberus Cyber Sentinel has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cerberus Cyber's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 57.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (80.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.81 M. | |
| Cerberus Cyber Sentinel currently holds about 8.77 M in cash with (5.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| Cerberus Cyber has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 51.0% of Cerberus Cyber shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Black Duck Welcomes New CIO, CISO in Latest Executive Expansion Moves |
Cerberus Cyber Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cerberus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cerberus Cyber's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cerberus Cyber's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Cerberus Cyber Technical Analysis
Cerberus Cyber's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cerberus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cerberus Cyber Sentinel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cerberus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cerberus Cyber Predictive Forecast Models
Cerberus Cyber's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cerberus Cyber's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cerberus Cyber's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cerberus Cyber Sentinel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cerberus Cyber for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cerberus Cyber Sentinel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cerberus Cyber is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Cerberus Cyber appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Cerberus Cyber has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Cerberus Cyber Sentinel currently holds 14.31 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.2, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Cerberus Cyber Sentinel has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cerberus Cyber's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 57.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (80.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.81 M. | |
| Cerberus Cyber Sentinel currently holds about 8.77 M in cash with (5.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| Cerberus Cyber has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 51.0% of Cerberus Cyber shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Black Duck Welcomes New CIO, CISO in Latest Executive Expansion Moves |
Check out Cerberus Cyber Backtesting, Cerberus Cyber Valuation, Cerberus Cyber Correlation, Cerberus Cyber Hype Analysis, Cerberus Cyber Volatility, Cerberus Cyber History as well as Cerberus Cyber Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cerberus Cyber. If investors know Cerberus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cerberus Cyber listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.38) | Revenue Per Share 4.66 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets (0.28) | Return On Equity (2.24) |
The market value of Cerberus Cyber Sentinel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cerberus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cerberus Cyber's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cerberus Cyber's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cerberus Cyber's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cerberus Cyber's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cerberus Cyber's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cerberus Cyber is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cerberus Cyber's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.